Key Data Released, U.S. Stocks Surge!
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In a remarkable turn of events on March 12, the U.Sstock market witnessed a significant rally, with all three major indices closing sharply higherThe rise was particularly pronounced among Chinese concept stocks, reflecting a wave of optimism and investor confidence sweeping through the market.
As trading concluded for the day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average marked an increase of 235.83 points, or 0.61%, finishing at 39,005.49. The Nasdaq Composite surged by 246.37 points, translating into a 1.54% uptick to close at 16,265.64. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index climbed by 57.33 points, up by 1.12%, setting a new historical closing record of 5,175.27. This performance coincided with a comprehensive rally in European markets, as the UK's FTSE 100 index rose by 1.02%, France's CAC 40 by 0.84%, and Germany's DAX index by 1.23%. Such coordination across the Atlantic highlights global economic interconnectivity.
Contributing to this bullish sentiment was the latest data release from the U.S
Department of Labor, revealing that consumer prices displayed resilience in February, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising by 3.2% year-over-year, slightly above the anticipated 3.1%. The monthly increase registered at 0.4%, slightly up from January's 0.3%. The core CPI, which excludes the volatile prices of food and energy, showed a year-on-year increase of 3.8%. While this represented a minor decline from the previous month, it still reflected persistent inflationary pressures within the economy.
Analysts have pointed out that the modest rise in the CPI compared to January indicates underlying inflationary trends that remain stubbornAs the first quarter of 2024 approaches, expectations suggest that the CPI will continue to moderate, although the recovery may be slow due to the tenacity of core inflationProjections indicate that stabilizing near the 2% target in the latter half of the year will pose a challenge.
In response to the inflation data, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's FedWatch tool indicated that there is a staggering 99% chance that the Federal Reserve will maintain its interest rates in the range of 5.25%—5.50% during its upcoming March meeting
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The likelihood of a 25 basis points rate cut stood at a mere 1.0%. Moving further into May, the probability of holding rates steadily drops slightly to 87.9%, with a cumulative 25 basis point cut expected by 12.0% of forecasters, while the chance of a 50 basis point reduction remained low at 0.1%. By June, however, there is a 63% chance that a rate decrease could occur.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell recently stated that the Fed is nearing a level of confidence required to initiate rate cuts, yet some officials emphasized a need to observe broader price corrections before taking actionThe Fed is set to convene for a two-day monetary policy meeting next week, and market expectations suggest that the central bank will take a cautious stance, maintaining the highest target rate range seen in two decades since last July.
Amidst the backdrop of economic fluctuations, small businesses in the U.S
expressed growing concern over high prices and the costs associated with borrowingThe National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) revealed that small business optimism fell to its lowest level in nine months in FebruaryThe small business confidence index dropped by 0.5 points to 89.4, marking the sixth decline in the past seven months.
With Wall Street analysts adjusting their forecasts for U.Sstocks, Mike Wilson, Chief U.SEquity Strategist at Morgan Stanley, highlighted a lack of broad-based earnings growth as a reason not to increase the S&P 500 targetHe urged investors to remain vigilant for corporate earnings reports and economic data that will inform smarter investment decisions.
In individual stock performance, large technology companies enjoyed significant gainsOracle soared over 11%, while Nvidia climbed more than 7%. Other tech giants like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) and Meta saw their shares rise by over 3%, while Microsoft, ASML, and AMD climbed by more than 2%. Companies such as Amazon, Netflix, and Qualcomm also enjoyed modest gains, even as Intel and Google parent Alphabet saw slight upticks.
Chinese concept stocks experienced a broad-based surge, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index climbing by 3.96%. Li Auto's shares increased by over 8%, while Futu Holdings and Tiger Brokers followed closely with more than 7% and 6% growth, respectively
Other notable performers included iQIYI, Pinduoduo (up more than 5%), and JD.com, with Vipshop and HUYA also posting gains of over 4%.
The spotlight was on standout stocks like Oracle, which reported an 11.71% increase, reaching a historic closing highThe tech giant's third-quarter revenue hit $13.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, meeting market expectationsIts adjusted earnings per share also surpassed projectionsNotably, their cloud computing revenue experienced a remarkable 25% increase, reaching $5.1 billion, driven by robust demand.
Nvidia's stock price rose by 7.16%, crossing the $900 barrier, as its market capitalization neared $2.3 trillionThe company's upcoming GTC event on March 18 is highly anticipated among investors, with CEO Jensen Huang expected to unveil breakthroughs in accelerated computing, generative AI, and robotics.
AMD similarly saw a rise of 2.20%, as CEO Lisa Su projected substantial growth in the artificial intelligence sector, highlighting AMD’s potential to capture a larger market share with technological advancements
She emphasized that AI represents the most significant technology of the past 50 years.
In contrast, Tesla’s shares dipped 0.13%. The company’s Berlin factory recently resumed power supply after being offline due to disruptions, though full production recovery would take timeReports indicated Tesla remains one of the most shorted stocks on U.Sexchanges.
Boeing, however, faced a more challenging day, with its stock dropping 4.29%. The 737 Max project failed to pass a critical audit by U.Sregulators, prompting Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg to announce stricter evaluations of Boeing to ensure aviation safety.
Adding to Boeing's woes, shocking news emerged about John Barnett, a former employee who spent 32 years at the companyHe was found deceased in a vehicle at a hotel parking lot
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